American Idol 101

here's the reason why clay is going to win. why carmen continues to stay on. why niki made it so far last year. and why tamyra was 4th when she should have been the one to win it last year. it has all to do with the "save factor". when the audience feels like their favorite contestant needs the help to continue on, probably because they performed so poorly, they will get a lot more votes than they will deserve. this is why carmen continues to stay on. every week, she does so poorly, and the judges chew her up. so even people that don't vote all the time will feel like they need to do their part to "save" the person. this is why niki made it so far last year. and this is why tamyra lost because she was so much better than everyone, while the savers tried to save their favorites, all of tamyra's fans stopped voting because they thought she had this in the bag.



now my reasoning why clay will win is because he's the guy that everyone will want to save. not because he needs it, but its because he's such a likable guy. with his money, he'll do good in this world. where as ruben will probably will probably use that money to buy more food and continue to gain 30 lbs a week like he's been doing since the show has started. there is no doubt that ruben does have the best talent out of the group this year (another reason the audience want to help clay all that much more). with or without american idol ruben will be doing some serious work with his singing career, provided he doesn't die of heart disease before the show is over. not to put clay down at all because he does at least have talent enough to make it to top 2. just not as good as ruben's voice. so its really down to how much the audience wants to save clay and help him get to #1 rather than #2 verses how good ruben really is. and i think clay will definitely get more votes when its down to ruben and clay.



still think candice coleman should have been brought back. i would have taken candice over carmen any day. and candice probably did have it in her to honestly make it to at least top 5, not squeak by on pity votes like carmen.



interesting facts. out of the 12 singers, there are 6 left. and out of those 6, 3 of them are wild cards (they originally weren't finalists). also, the top 3 singers (clay, ruben, kimberly) are from 1 of the 4 semifinalist shows. candice was also part of the semifinalist group that clay, ruben, and kimberly was in. that was a really good group. and i'm sure if she was in any other group, she would have made it for sure. one other comment is that fox has really been dragging its heels on this show. they are eliminating the contestants 1 by 1, and obviously the judges are getting bored of what excited them in the first place. who wouldn't get tired of an artist after watching them for 16 weeks straight? the judges are just bored now. they are asking the contestants to be different and more entertaining. an unfair demand considering the contestants have evolved in the direction of the judges prior recommendations. they are asking for something probably impossible. they want to be surprised after all the contestants have given it all they got. randy needs to shut up. "yea dog...that was good...but that was didn't do it for me....i dunno man...it was just aiite dog." yeah. tell america every week what an idiot you sound like when you've brought boredom onto yourself.